HEPHFORGE

Evidence policy

Written by: Fatih

Every claim carries a status, and the status says how much weight the claim may bear. These labels are not decoration: a mechanical check stops a low-status claim from being written in confident language.

StatusMeaningWhere it may be used
verifiedPrimary source, or two independent sourcesAnywhere
observedSingle measurement from a secondary sourceWith the source named
hypothesisDerived, or weakly sourcedNever in confident language
expiredThe measurement has aged outNo live text may rest on it
supersededA later measurement refuted itNo live text may rest on it

We do not delete

expired and superseded rows are never removed. Having been wrong stays on the record; otherwise a “we were always right” impression could be manufactured. Corrections are also collected on the Corrections page.

An example — our own mistake

An early draft claimed Turkey led the world in crypto adoption. Measured, the answer was different: in Chainalysis’s 2025 index Turkey ranks 14th globally, first in its region. The sentence was corrected and the reason recorded. That is precisely why this page exists.

We say when we could not measure

When we cannot measure something we do not say “probably”; we say “we could not measure it” and write down why. A source closing its door to us does not entitle us to a verdict about that source.